Saturday, November 16, 2013

Three Point Standings

What would the NHL standings look like today if a regulation win was worth three points and an overtime or shootout win was only worth two? In this set up, the first tiebreaker is games played and the second is regulation and overtime wins (which still leaves Boston and Pittsburgh tied).   These standings are rough point totals and do not include the 1,2, 3 bonus for being tops in each division.

Western Conference

Anahiem Ducks 46
Colorado Avalanche 41
San Jose Sharks 41
Chicago Blackhawks 40
Minnesota Wild 38
St. Louis Blues 37
Phoenix Coyotes 37
LA Kings 34
Vancouver Canucks 31
Winnipeg Jets 27
Dallas Stars 25
Nashville Predators 25
Calgary Flames 20
Edmonton Oilers 12

Eastern Conference

Tampa Bay Lightning 36
Boston Bruins 35
Pittsburgh Penguins 35
Detroit Red Wings 32
Toronto Maple Leafs 31
Montreal Canadiens 31
Washington Capitals 28
Ottawa Senators 27
New York Rangers 26
Carolina Hurricanes 26
New Jersey Devils 23
Philedelphia Flyers 23
New York Islanders 22
Columbus Blue Jackets 20
Florida Panthers 15
Buffalo Sabres 13

These standings look pretty similar to the actual NHL in terms of order, but one thing it does is make the teams at the bottom seem even less likely to be able to catch up.  The optics of it are worse, even if the likelihood of catching up is still about the same.  With a two point system, Edmonton is 17 points out of the playoffs. In a three point system, Edmonton is 22 points out (yikes!).  Even if it looks worse, a three point system might benefit the Oilers (if they would actually earn regulation wins).  It would only take seven and a third wins to gain the 22 points that the Oilers are back of the number eight ranked Kings in a three point system.  In the current two point system it would take eight and a half games to gain the 17 points Edmonton is behind.  The two point system would also probably award loser points to a lot of the teams along the way making the climb even more steep.  Obviously both of the hypothetical situations are incredibly unlikely, but the three point system may work better for good teams that have bad stretches as well as for truly determining who is the best regular season team.

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